WARÛM 15M DIRECTIONAL
CASH $101.08
TODAY +$8.42 · LIFE +$8.42
● LIVE
00:00:00 UTC
⚡ LIVE TICKER:

Markets & Windows

Full depth · 96 windows per market per day · batch-created ~00:01 UTC

LIVE DATA ● WINDOW OPEN · T−14:22.4
⚡ TAKER FLOW — WHO IS BUYING RIGHT NOW 60S ROLLING TAPE
YES TAKER FLOW: 50% Refreshed every 2s across all books NO TAKER FLOW: 50%
LIVE OPERATIONS — 7 CONFIGURED AGENTS LIVE CONFIG FRESH

Process activity is not proof of an order. This panel separates service health, current configuration, and actual fills.

CASH $101.08
TODAY +$8.42 · 3W/0L
HARD ENTRY BAND
55–90¢
EXIT RULE
final 3m only · 4m cooldown · ≥20¢ turn
RISK RAILS
cap $100 · floor $40 · streak 0/3
LEARNER ENGINE
ACTIVE · last run today · 3 backups

BITCOIN · KXBTC15M

15-MINUTE EXPIRATION ● LIVE BOOK TICKING
Order Book: KXBTC15M · Strike: $58,250.00 · Position: FLAT (NO EXPOSURE)
SWITCH COIN / ASSET:
ORDER BOOK — YES (UP)
LIQUIDITY DEPTH MOUNTAIN (REAL-TIME) Bids (Green) · Asks (Red)
Price (¢) Size Total
LAST --¢ · MID -- · SPREAD --¢
TICKET ECHO
MARKET PRICE --¢
CONTRACTS --
EST. FEE --¢
MAX PAYOUT $--
COST $--

LIVE mode — orders execute on the Terminal desk.

TRADE TAPE — SESSION PRINTS
SESSION VOLUME
1,065.37
contracts this window · 1.1K today

96 windows today · tape-derived volume

LAST — WINDOWS (SESSION)
YES 8/12 (67%)
Observed settlements for active pool
AVG |Δ| AT CLOSE
+0.42%
Absolute spot move, strike → close
SETTLEMENT LAG
~5s
Close → Kalshi official result display

15-Minute Prediction Markets

Active 15-minute directional windows across all 7 crypto and precious metal instruments.

Active & Settled Positions

Positions verified directly against Kalshi venue fills. Hold-to-settlement P&L attribution.

Autonomous Execution & Exit Pipeline

Real-time inspection of the WindowTrader decision loop and automated risk rails.
STANDBY
Window Open
MONITORING
8-min Gate
ALERT
Reversal Imbalance
STAGED
Min Hold Verification
EXIT
Tranche Mitigation
MODEL LIVE Last trained: Just now

2-Hour Machine Learning & Calibration Model

Continuous probabilistic learning engine. Fits logistic regression calibration curves, computes Brier scores, diagnoses loss clusters, and optimizes execution parameters every 2 hours 24/7.
Next run in: 01:59:45
Settlements Graded
63
Win Rate
68.3%
Brier Score
0.215
Fair Value Error
0.125
Suggested Edge
+4.2%

Model Feature Weights

Loss Cluster Diagnosis

Analyzing loss patterns across entry price buckets and reversal timing.

Historical Checkpoints & One-Click Rollback

Instant zero-downtime rollback to any prior training epoch directly into live engine memory.
Timestamp Checkpoint ID Settlements Win % Brier What It Learned & Changed Action
THE PLAYBOOK

Fifteen minutes. One strike. No hiding.

The 15-minute directional engine executes bounded entries between 70¢ and 90¢ during the high-confidence 8-minute gate. Positions are held directly to settlement unless a confident venue-depth reversal is verified.
Entry Range
70¢ – 90¢
Entry Gate
Minute 8:00 – 13:00
Doctrine
Hold to Settlement
Reversal Exit
Tranche Mitigation

Live Parameter Configuration & Overrides

Configure entry thresholds, reversal bounds, and sizing per coin/metal. Changes write to params.json and hot-reload live without restarting.
Entry Band Min (¢) 55¢
Entry Band Max (¢) 90¢
Imbalance Threshold (%) 15%
Taker Flow Min (%) 60%
Reversal Underwater (¢) 15¢
Default Clip (Contracts) 4

Instrument Configuration & Toggles (All 7 Assets)

Instrument Trading Active Custom Clip (Contracts) Min Entry (¢) Max Entry (¢) Status